Driverless vehicles – capable of operating independently, without human assistance – are the ultimate future of mobility. However, such an advanced level of autonomy in our cars and trucks is still far away. Having said that, several companies are making impressive progress in the world of autonomous vehicles, successfully achieving mid-level autonomy.
The Rise of Automation in Mobility
According to the Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE), there are a total of six levels of driving automation:
- Level 0 (No Driving Automation): At this level, humans manually control the vehicle and provide a dynamic driving task. Most of the vehicles on the road belong to this category.
- Level 1 (Driver Assistance): In this lowest level of automation, the driver monitors the system, but a single automated system, like park assistance, is available for the driver’s help.
- Level 2 (Partial Driving Automation): At this level, the vehicle comes with an advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) that can control steering as well as accelerating/decelerating. However, the human driver still has to be present to take control of the car when needed.
- Level 3 (Conditional Driving Automation): While a human driver still needs to be alert at this level and prepared to take control, the vehicle comes with the ability to detect surroundings and, based on that, make informed decisions.
- Level 4 (High Driving Automation): Human interaction is not needed at this level, although a manual override option is available. The vehicle here operates in self-driving mode.
- Level 5 (Full Driving Automation): The vehicle operates completely independently at this highest level of automation with no human attention required whatsoever.
Working towards the goal of achieving ultimate automation, autonomous vehicles (AVs) are getting a lot of traction and slowly gaining market share as well. For instance, in 2024, more than 54 million vehicles had at least some level of automation, a strong growth from 31 million cars in 2019
This trend will only grow from here with Level 3 and Level 4 autonomous vehicles to start making a small (around 8%) but rising percentage of all new car sales by the end of this decade.
With the autonomous vehicle market size projected to surpass $2.3 trillion in 2030, startups, tech giants, and established automotive manufacturers are all entering the market to capture a piece of this massive market.
But of course, it’s not all a smooth ride, as evident from the shutdown of Cruise, which General Motors acquired in 2016. The driverless rideshare company began offering commercial rides to the public in San Francisco in 2022, only to pause operations after an accident in October 2023 that led to its license being revoked. In December 2024, GM announced that it had ended robotaxi development at its money-losing business, in which it had invested more than $10 billion.
Two years before that, Ford Motor shut down Argo AI, an autonomous vehicle startup that was part-funded by Volkswagen.
Amidst these failures, there are companies that are making powerful strides forward and gradually getting closer to a completely autonomous mobility future.
Amazon-owned Zoox (acquired by the e-commerce giant in 2020 for $1.2 bln) is creating a fleet of independently operating cars to serve cities as an on-demand transportation option. The company is currently preparing to begin testing its vehicles in Los Angeles this summer, which will lay the groundwork for its future commercial service. Zoox, however, won’t operate without a human driver yet. The test vehicles are also retrofitted SUVs, though a pill-shaped driverless vehicle is currently in development and will be tested on roads starting in 2023.
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Now, let’s take a look at some of the most prominent and advanced names in this space:
1. Waymo
Eight years after being spun off from Google X’s research lab as a new standalone company to focus on commercializing autonomous driving technology, Waymo is finally having its time.
It is currently the industry leader in automation, operating in some of its testing markets at Level 4 autonomy with no one in the driver’s seat. It uses real-time sensor data and custom mapping technology to navigate.
The autonomous driving technology company is currently offering the services of its custom-built robotaxi called Waymo One in Austin, Phoenix, Los Angeles, and San Francisco. This fully autonomous ride-hailing service is powered by the Waymo Driver, whose sixth generation is currently in development. For Waymo One, it uses Jaguar and Zeekr models, which are retrofitted with Waymo’s self-driving technology. A purpose-built robotaxi for the future fleet is also being developed.
So far, more than 4 million rider-only paid trips have been served by Waymo, enabled by the data and experience gathered from autonomously driving tens of millions of miles on public roads, and many more in simulation.
Earlier this year, Wayo’s co-CEO, Tekedra Mawakana, said that their robotaxis were now covering 1 million miles a week, “more than a human drives in a lifetime.”
This progress is led by Waymo’s focus on safety rather than growth. The company has been rigorously testing its robotaxis vehicles and slowly increasing the complexity of the environment in which they operate to fulfill its mission “to be the world’s most trusted driver.”
In Oct. last year, Waymo completed an oversubscribed funding round of $5.6 billion, its largest investment round to date, which was led by the $1.8 trillion market cap parent company Alphabet (GOOGL -1.42%) with participation from Fidelity, Andreessen Horowitz, Tiger Global, Silver Lake, Perry Creek, and T. Rowe Price.
The fresh funding, which brings its total capital raised to over $11 billion, will support Waymo’s robotaxi business in current markets as well as its expansion into new cities, where its vehicles will be available exclusively on the Uber app. In the last week of March 2025, Waymo robotaxis reportedly made up about 20% of rides offered by Uber in Austin, underscoring rising consumer interest.
The company has also hinted at future business applications for its Waymo Driver, which involves hardware and software that enable its vehicles to drive autonomously. Late last year, Hyundai Motor Company and Waymo entered into a multi-year strategic partnership to integrate Waymo into the Hyundai Ioniq 5, an all-electric SUV, which Waymo plans to add to its fleet in the future.
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL -1.42%)
When it comes to financials, Waymo remains a money-loser for now. As part of the ‘Other Bets’ segment, which also includes the life sciences unit Verily, it only generated $400 mln in Q4 2024, down over 39% from $657 million recorded in 4Q23. The good thing is Alphabet has plenty of resources, and it ended the year with $72.8 billion in free cash flow.
The Chinese tech giant Baidu, known for its search engine, is actually one of the most advanced AV players. It not only operates passenger AVs through the autonomous ride-hailing service ‘Apollo Go’ but also autonomous buses, including Apolong and Robobus.
It was last summer that the company announced that its Apollo Go robotaxi is finally close to breaking even and likely to turn a profit this year. It was around that time that it also confirmed the launch of its sixth-generation self-driving taxi RT6 in China.
The all-electric RT6, which features computing units with a power of up to 1200 TOPS along with lidar and cameras, has been deployed in Wuhan. It utilizes the new Level 4 Apollo Autonomous Driving Foundation Model and involves ten layers of safety redundancy, but more importantly, is priced under $30K, half the price of its predecessor. These cost savings are being further passed on to customers with the base fare starting as low as 4 yuan (about 55 cents) compared with 18 yuan for a human-driven taxi.
Baidu has actually received a license to test its Apollo Go robotaxi service in Hong Kong, a big move in its expansion outside the Chinese mainland, which the company called an “important milestone in our journey towards globalization.” Amidst increasing competition in AV commercialization, Baidu also plans to launch its robotaxi in Singapore and the Middle East.
While announcing its Q4 2024 financial results, Baidu noted that Apollo Go provided over 1.1 million rides during the quarter, a 36% YoY increase. As of January 2025, its total public rides surpassed 9 million.
Baidu, Inc. (BIDU +0.11%)
The $28.39 billion market cap company, whose shares are trading at $83.10 (down 2.04% YTD), also reported $18.24 billion in total revenue for 2024 and $1.80 billion in free cash flow. Its EPS (TTM) is 9.07, and its P/E (TTM) is 9.10.
The company has now begun 100% fully driverless operations across China, starting in February this year, removing safety drivers from its vehicles.
“This year will be a paramount year for our expansion. We expect to grow our fleet size and ride volumes faster than ever.”
– CEO and co-founder Robin Li
Elon Musk-led $776.37 billion market cap Tesla manufactures fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems. As of writing, its shares are trading at $240.89, down as much as 40.23% this year so far.
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA -0.07%)
For 2024, the company reported revenue of $97.69 billion and delivered 1.78 million electric vehicles (EVs). Amidst this decline in deliveries, Musk has been focusing on the future of autonomy and robotics. In accordance with that vision, Tesla introduced an early prototype of a Cybercab in October, though it has yet to produce a robotaxis.
Tesla, according to Musk, is already operating autonomously at its factory in Fremont and will soon do the same in the Texas factory, where large-scale robotaxi production is scheduled to start in 2026.
The company sells a premium version of its partially automated driving system called Full Self-Driving (FSD). The AI software utilizes machine learning, data science, and computer vision to enable autonomous driving features, such as self-parking, automatic lane changes, and traffic navigation. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) is classified as a Level 2 autonomous driving system.
The company is currently working on advancing its software and aims to release the unsupervised paid version in the coming months. Musk has noted “significant interest” from several major car companies about licensing this technology.
Musk said the following in a post on X earlier this month:
“It has been staggeringly difficult to make generalized self-driving work. The investment in training compute, gigantic data pipelines, and vast video storage will be well over $10B cumulatively this year. But that is nothing compared to the ~quarter trillion dollars in cars on the road with Tesla-designed AI inference computers being trained by their drivers.”
With more than 7 million Tesla vehicles on the road today, the company holds the majority of the EV market share worldwide and boasts the largest real-world dataset in the world, compiled from its fleet.
Backed by the likes of Toyota Motor, Sequoia Capital, Fidelity China Special Situations, and Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, Pony.ai went public in Nov. 2024. As of writing, PONY shares are trading at $4.48, having a market cap of $1.5 billion and EPS (TTM) of -2.4.
Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares (PONY -4.48%)
Last year, the company reported total revenue of $75 million. Meanwhile, robotaxi services were $7.3 million, a 5.3% drop from the previous year. This comes after a brutal Q4, during which it saw a decline of 61.9% in its robotaxi services at $2.6 million, which was attributed to “reduced service fees” for autonomous vehicle engineering solutions, partially offset by a solid increase in passenger fares as a result of the expansion of its public-facing fare-charging robotaxi services in top-tier Chinese cities.
Just last month, the company obtained a permit in China to charge fares for fully driverless taxis in core parts of a business district of Shenzhen. Residents can book the rides through its app or a mini-program inside the WeChat messaging app.
Interestingly, Pony.ai’s robotruck services experienced significant growth, reaching $40 million last year, a 61.3% increase, thanks to the expansion into new regions.
Both basic and diluted net loss per ordinary share during the period was $2.40. Cash and cash equivalents, short-term investments, and restricted cash at the end of the year were $745.2 million, while its long-term investments were $130.8 million.
When it comes to Pony.ai’s autonomous vehicles (AVs), it utilizes a combination of deep learning and machine learning, as well as LiDAR and radar sensors, for its autonomous driving planning and control software. To fulfill its large-scale commercialization of autonomous mobility, the company is currently expanding its presence across China, Europe, East Asia, the Middle East, and other regions.
Pony.ai actually got approval last month to start testing its Level 4 robotaxi in Luxembourg in partnership with local mobility company Emile Weber.
But this is just the beginning; the company has big plans for this year, which include scaling the production of seventh-generation robotaxi with a focus on safer, more efficient, and accessible autonomous mobility. According to Zhang Ning, head of Pony.ai’s Beijing R&D center, this will demonstrate that “achieving commercial profitability for Level 4 autonomous driving is within reach.” The company expects to achieve “large-scale commercial success by 2025 or 2026.”
The focus of Aurora is on autonomous trucking and logistics through Aurora Driver software, a self-driving system designed with the capability to adapt to a variety of vehicles for autonomous driving.
The company counts the likes of FedEx (FDX +1.96%), Toyota (TM +0.73%), Volvo, Continental, Uber Freight (UBER +2.98%), Schneider, Werner, and Nvidia (NVDA -2.87%) as its strategic partners and plans to have the commercial launch of Aurora Driver this year.
As Aurora gets ready to launch its autonomous trucking service in Texas, it released a Driverless Safety Report last month, detailing its approach to safety engineering, risk management, cybersecurity, and more.
The Aurora Driver aims to address the challenges in the trucking industry, where freight volumes continue to increase and shipping distances extend. In this environment, Aurora Driver can help solve staffing shortages and enable more efficient and productive transport.
“We are on the cusp of our planned Commercial Launch, a pivotal step toward realizing our mission to deliver the benefits of self-driving technology safely, quickly, and broadly. In 2025, Aurora will deploy its first driverless trucks on public roads, ushering in a future of safer, more efficient freight transportation and immense value creation.”
– CEO Chris Urmson
While the first half of 2025 will mark the commercial launch of Level 4 autonomous truck driving software along with the plans to deploy up to 10 driverless trucks at the same time, the second half will focus on expanding the company’s product capabilities to include validated night driving and rainy conditions, lane expansion to Fort Worth, El Paso lane, and then Phoenix, and increasing the capacity to tens of trucks.
Aurora Innovation, Inc. (AUR +4.09%)
Aurora is a $10.796 billion market cap company whose shares are currently trading at $6.15, down 3% YTD. With that, it has an EPS (TTM) of -0.46 and a P/E (TTM) of -13.22.
In 2024, the company reported an operating cash outflow of $611 million, including $34 million in capital expenditures. The year ended with a “very strong balance sheet,” having over $1.2 billion in cash and short-term investments, which is expected to support operations into the second half of 2026.
Conclusion
So, these are the companies at the forefront of autonomous vehicle innovation, which is being driven by technological advancements in AI, lidar, radar, camera, HD mapping, and edge computing. With their different approaches, these companies are helping make AVs become a tangible reality in the near future.
While there are still challenges ahead in terms of safety validation, public trust, infrastructure, and regulations, the autonomous vehicle mania is gaining momentum and can soon see its wide deployment to significantly transform mobility!
Click here to learn how autonomous taxis will generate $4 trillion in revenue by 2027.